Tony Bennett

The EU's role in our financial crisis - Telegraph


The EU's role in our financial crisis
By Christopher Booker

Last Updated: 12:01am BST 05/10/2008

QUOTE

As the Western world's banking system teeters on the edge of collapse, one
crucial factor in this unprecedented crisis has gone almost entirely unnoticed -
although David Cameron made a veiled reference to it on Tuesday.

At the heart of this catastrophe lies a drastic change made last year to banking
regulations, which has led to the current freezing of the money markets. Without
it, most of the banks that have collapsed, such as Lehman Brothers, might have
survived.

Last December, a leading City economist, Professor Peter Spencer of Ernst &
Young's Item Club, warned that unless something was done urgently to modify the
new rules, the resulting paralysis of the banking system would "make 1929 look
like a walk in the park".

Last week, as his prediction seemed to be coming true, the US was moving to
change the rules. But in the EU they are enshrined in a directive which could
take months, or years, to unpick.

In 2004, partly in response to the Enron debacle, the world's leading economic
powers made an agreement known as Basel 2.

It proposed a drastic tightening of the so-called "fair value" or
"mark-to-market" rules, whereby banks and other financial institutions define
whether they are solvent and fit to continue trading. Brussels, which is fast
taking over regulation of our financial services, embodied this in two
directives, 2006/48 and 2006/49, known as the Capital Adequacy Directive.

Much of this lays down a complex "Risk Assessment Model", under which a bank at
the end of each day's trading must produce a statement of its assets to show
whether or not it is solvent. If not, the bank must declare this to the
regulatory authorities, such as Britain's Financial Services Authority (FSA),
and cease trading.

As informed observers pointed out at the time, this might not cause problems
when property and share values were rising but when markets fell the banks would
be put in a critical position.

Writing down their assets to the value they would fetch in a "fire sale",
without allowing for underlying value or future recovery, their asset base might
be so severely undervalued that it would be difficult for them to lend or
borrow, freezing those deals which are the banking system's lifeblood.

At worst, though technically solvent, they would have to close their doors.

Since the credit crunch began last year, this is precisely what has happened.
Another City economist, Professor Tim Congdon, warned in January that the
"scientific precision of the Basel rules" had been shown to be "hocus pocus",
explaining how this had already played a key part in the collapse of Northern
Rock. As a "solvent but illiquid bank", wrote Prof Congdon, Northern Rock's only
hope was to appeal for help to the Bank of England.

In former times, as the Bank's governor, Mervyn King, tried to explain to the
Treasury Select Committee in September 2007, he could have sorted it out behind
the scenes, in a rescue operation involving other banks - as had often been done
before.

But Mr King was hamstrung by EU legislation, such as its directives on takeovers
and "market abuse", as shown by Prof Congdon in a devastating pamphlet, Northern
Rock and the European Union (published by Global Vision). The EU's role makes
nonsense of the claim that Britain's financial regulation is a "tripartite"
system - Bank, Treasury and FSA.

In reality it is quadripartite, with Brussels the fourth and in many ways most
important player, as we saw when subsequent attempts to sort out the Northern
Rock shambles fell foul of EU competition and state-aid rules.

As Ron Sandler, Northern Rock's chairman, said when it was nationalised, "the
bank will have to operate according to rules set in Brussels". Because the EU's
competition commissioner, Neelie Kroes, failed to grasp the difference between a
loan and state aid, one of her first requirements was that the bank should sack
2,000 employees as evidence that it was being "restructured" .

Thus the EU has become the gigantic "elephant in the room" of our financial
services industry, on which a third of Britain's income depends. Nowhere is the
effect more damaging than in those directives implementing the Basel 2 agreement
(actively promoted by Britain at the time) that have reduced our banking and
lending system to paralysis.

When Mr Cameron admitted last week that a "new international regulation" which
"automatically downgrades the value of banks" was "making the financial crisis
worse than in previous downturns", he did not dare risk inflaming his party's
Eurosceptics by referring to the EU directly. He merely coyly suggested that
"our regulatory authorities" should get together with "the European regulators"
to "address this difficult issue".

He did not point out that, as the US Securities and Exchange Commission was
abandoning the new rules (supported by the bail-out bill before Congress), all
we have to look forward to is that Gordon Brown, after his "crisis summit" in
Paris yesterday, will air this "difficult issue" at the European Council on
October 15.

Even if they decide to follow the US lead, it would entail the tortuous
procedure of the Commission drafting a new directive, which could take more than
a year. Meanwhile Europe's banking system remains frozen, threatening no one
more than Britain - for reasons that none of our politicians dare explain.

UNQUOTE

Smidgey

This was mentioned on the first big news day of the crisis. The BBC hasn't returned to it since.

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How vain is man, who boasts in fight the valour of gigantic might!

-Georg Friedrich Händel

Baron von Lotsov

"he did not dare risk inflaming his party's Eurosceptics by referring to the EU directly"

Why on earth not? Eurosceptics are not monsters, and I'm sure they would have supported him if he had told the truth and the whole truth. Cameron has already come out against refusal of a referendum, so it would be consistent, and above all else it would earn him respect from voters who are sick to death of the lies and cover-ups concerning Europe. As for the BBC, well no surprises there. Fully paid up members of the regime and traitors - the lot of them.

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"A government big enough to supply you with everything you need, is a government big enough to take away everything that you have..."

Hartlepool

I no longer fall for the supposed "large numbers of Conservative eurosceptics" that is designed to change the face of the party that started this countries horrific journey and destruction into the EU.

CONSERVATIVE EUROSCEPTICISM IS A JOKE THAT BENEFITS THE EU AND THEM.

Baron von Lotsov

Well you see the public are becoming Eurosceptics now. I see Cameron as being a bit disingenuous trying to hide the facts from people. The only hope I see for the party is if the real Eurosceptics take a stand and there are a few of them still left, my MP is one of them, but I agree there are not many. It seems the new intake are just like Nu Labour. It's a joke; apparently Mandelson has been talking to Osborne. Why?

Peter Mandelson 'dripped pure poison' about Gordon Brown to George Osborne - Telegraph

It's becoming a one party state.

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"A government big enough to supply you with everything you need, is a government big enough to take away everything that you have..."

Tony Bennett

Great. When the E.U. discovers its own rules have helped to bring us close to disaster, they simply tear them up!

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

EU leaders tear up rules of eurozone - Europe, World - The Independent

EU leaders tear up rules of eurozone

By John Lichfield in Paris --- Monday, 6 October 2008

Public spending curbs and rules against state subsidies will be thrown –
temporarily – out of the window to rescue European banks from the abyss of the
global financial crisis, EU leaders agreed at the weekend. Leaders of the four
largest European Union economies – Britain, France, Germany and Italy – came up
with no EU-wide magic formula, or rescue package, to defend the buckling
European financial system.

**********

They did agree, however, that national governments should be at liberty to take
drastic action to shore up their own financial institutions, busting EU limits
on national budgets and flouting European rules against public subsidies if
necessary.


**********

Meeting in Paris, the Big Four insisted that national governments
must "consult" their European partners before taking action which could harm
rival banks in other countries. This was a rebuke to Ireland's decision last
week to guarantee all bank savings for two years but also, implicitly, a
recognition that other nations may have to take similar action.

But they accepted that the rules of the Stability and Growth Pact – the eurozone
rules requiring that national budget deficits should be progressively reduced to
zero – should be relaxed. This was a silver lining in the crisis for the French
government. Even before the financial meltdown, Paris had been struggling to
meet its commitment to balance its budget by 2012.

EU laws forbidding state subsidies to private companies would also be "applied
in a flexible manner" (ie suspended), the summit decided. At France's insistence
it was agreed that there should be "punishments" , not golden parachutes, for the
bosses of financial institutions which needed state bailouts.

The Big Four also called for urgent action to change EU accounting rules which
are accused of deepening the crisis by encouraging stock-market speculation
against banks.

The decision by the Big Four was portrayed by French officials as a significant
lurch away from the free-market doctrine which has dominated EU economic policy
for the past two decades.

French officials nevertheless claimed the summit as a victory for the can-do and
interventionist instincts of the French President, Nicolas Sarkozy. The four
leaders signed a declaration backing his plan for an emergency global economic
summit next month to "rebuild the world's financial system". Previously,
international reaction to this idea had been lukewarm at best.

The mini-summit also agreed a plan by Mr Brown to create a €12bn (£9.3bn) – and
potentially €24bn – EU fund to aid small businesses.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stephen Booth

With a fair wind this crisis should tear Europe to pieces.

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Britain Out of Europe Now !

Nyge21

Indeed, although the Brussels Broadcasting Corp will no doubt to its utmost to paint the EU in a rosy light throughout, and everyone/thing else as the problem. (having just seen the 10 o clock news tonight)

One piece of good news from a financial crisis - it seems - food and oil prices might fall substantially.

Millennium3

Newsnight featured a squabble between Kirsty Walk and the German Ambassador with Eurosceptic Norman Lamont helping to explain why the EU cannot manage the financial crisis but must leave it to each nation to resolve their own issues because their problems are different.

UK's were the worst placed on the two measures they used!

Baron von Lotsov

I hope so but I worry that the Bank of England and our pound will be crushed and the ECB will be untouched. Then some Miliband will say we must join the Euro.

The story so far:

British Pound to Euro Exchange Rate - Yahoo! Finance

Fortunately it does not appear that it has got much worse but this could all change.

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"A government big enough to supply you with everything you need, is a government big enough to take away everything that you have..."