Ray,
Cameron's pledge is unequivocal. He has pledged to give the British people a vote on the Lisbon Treaty, and has pledged to campaign for a 'no' vote. That couldn't be any clearer.
We agree that he doesn't probably actually want such a referendum, or expects to have to deliver such a referendum (by adding that it will only be offered if the LT has not already been ratified by all member states) but the wording of the pledge is in writing (unlike his immediate EPP withdrawal pledge).
Therefore Cameron has created a rod to beat him with. For someone to publicly state that he opposes something, if we can show that he could stop it happening, he will clearly appear incredibly dishonest by not delivering, and thus could lose a lot of public support.
This is the area that we should be focussing on now.
UKIP is never going to get elected MP's. There is simply no electoral evidence to support that UKIP is progressing in this direction.
I am sure you are not seriously suggesting that UKIP can gain MP's before the LT is ratified by all member states and I am also sure we all agree that preventing the ratification of the LT will seriously damage the EU.
The focus now should be 100% on stopping full ratification of the LT, imho.
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