Quote:
Originally Posted by Aardvark
If the Tories have 250,000 members and only 1 in 4 is active at the GE or thereabouts that will still mean the best part of 100 Tories per constituency. If we had 4000 activists we would have barely 6 activists per constituency. A 25% increase for us would equate to 1.5 people per consituency giving 7.5 total. The Tories could take a 20% cut in active supporters and outgun us at every turn.
It is a numbers game, but we're not the only ones playing it.
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I am happy to report that in Lewes, the Tories are not in such a dominant position. The UKIP membership, whilst low is increasing thanks to the membership drive we are currently engaged in. Whilst the Tory membership has reportedly increased this year this is apparently mostly people whose memberships lapsed at some point in the past and who now at the first hint of future success have returned to what they see as a winning team. On the other side of the equation, many of the active membership are demoralized, and two senior Tory activists have joined UKIP in the past year. We hope to recruit more. If the current parliament lasts until 2010 then I am reasonably confident that we will be in a position to take the fight to both the Tories and the Lib Dems in Lewes in a general election.
The other parties may currently have a large advantage over us at present in terms of membership. THis need not be the case as we are currently showing in Lewes. There are people out there who want to join us and help. We just need to ask them.